Mathesis

If every candidate's loss is measurable and a.e. valued in [a, b] under Q, every training-generated trajectory is admissible for F, and the resulting uniform-deviation failure event is measurable, then on an i.i.d. panel of size n drawn from Q, measured cumulative empirical-loss progress exceeds population-loss progress by more than 2 · deltaFiniteExperts (card ι) n (b - a) δ with probability at most ENNReal.ofReal δ.

DeclAuditCP.auditBlind_finiteTrajectory_goodhart
∀ {Ωtrain : Type u_1} {Z : Type u_2} {ι : Type u_3} [inst : MeasurableSpace Ωtrain] [inst_1 : MeasurableSpace Z]
  [inst_2 : Fintype ι] [Nonempty ι] (μtrain : AuditCP.AuditSampleLaw Ωtrain) [MeasureTheory.IsProbabilityMeasure μtrain]
  (Q : AuditCP.AuditSampleLaw Z) [MeasureTheory.IsProbabilityMeasure Q] (n : ℕ),
  0 < n →
    ∀ (a b : ℝ),
      a < b →
        ∀ (δ : ℝ),
          0 < δ →
            δ ≤ 1 →
              ∀ (loss : ι → Z → ℝ),
                (∀ (i : ι), Measurable (loss i)) →
                  (∀ (i : ι), ∀ᵐ (z : Z) ∂Q, loss i z ∈ Set.Icc a b) →
                    ∀ (F : Ωtrain → AuditCP.AuditEnvelope ι) (g : Ωtrain → AuditCP.AuditTrajectory ι),
                      (∀ (t : Ωtrain), AuditCP.Admissible (g t) (F t)) →
                        MeasurableSet
                            {p |
                              ¬AuditCP.UniformDev (F p.1) (fun i => AuditCP.empiricalLoss loss i p.2)
                                  (fun i => AuditCP.populationLoss Q loss i)
                                  (AuditCP.deltaFiniteExperts (Fintype.card ι) n (b - a) δ)} →
                          ∀ (T : ℕ),
                            (MeasureTheory.Measure.prod μtrain (MeasureTheory.Measure.pi fun x => Q))
                                {p |
                                  AuditCP.cumCP (fun i => AuditCP.empiricalLoss loss i p.2) (g p.1) T >
                                    AuditCP.cumCP (fun i => AuditCP.populationLoss Q loss i) (g p.1) T +
                                      2 * AuditCP.deltaFiniteExperts (Fintype.card ι) n (b - a) δ} ≤
                              ENNReal.ofReal δ

Arguments

DOIAuthorDate
MTH.R-2026-6015Dhruv GuptaDhruv Gupta2026-09-24T00:00:00Z
DOIMTH.C-2026-6015
Cite

Verification

Library
AuditCP.StructuralAudit
Statement digest
3b7d52c7568c
First verified
2026-09-24T00:00:00Z